Investment Management

Fixed Income

10/30/2017

Tax Reform on the Horizon? How Current Proposals Could Impact Credit Markets

By Kurt Kringelis, CFA, CPA, JD, Head Macro Credit Strategist

Most investors are viewing the potential impact of proposed tax reform through the lens of corporate earnings and economic growth. In our latest analysis, we take a more nuanced look to understand how current proposals might effect corporate behavior and credit spreads.

10/04/2017

How Protected are RMBS Investments from Natural Disasters?

By Dave Goodson, Head of Securitized, and Jeff Dutra, CFA, Senior Portfolio Manager, Structured Finance

Risks posed by recent storms are accounted for within RMBS structures and evaluated by investors. However, given the magnitude of the potential devastation associated with these recent storms in such a short time period, it is prudent to reassess this risk.

09/14/2017

Assessing the Likely Impact of Recent Storms

By Dave Goodson, Head of Securitized Investments, Fixed Income

As we were recently reminded, hurricanes, like other natural disasters, have the potential to be devastating and disrupting events. As Florida and Texas begin the recovery and rebuilding process, historical context provides perspective about the likely impact these storms will have.

08/21/2017

The U.S. Housing Market: What Historical Data Reveals about the Path Forward

By Dave Goodson, Head of Securitized Investments, Fixed Income

Comparing current economic data with 2007 data provides helpful context for the path forward. Our analysis reveals that the U.S. housing market still has meaningful upside. In fact, from several perspectives, we are still in the recovery phase.

07/19/2017

The Disruption in Retail Expands to Grocers: What Amazon’s Latest Game Changer Means for Fixed Income Investors

By Dave Goodson, Head of Securitized; Greg Michaud, Head of Real Estate Finance; Mark Probst, Senior Credit Analyst; and Daniel Riordan, CFA, High Yield Credit Analyst

Perhaps the largest untapped opportunity for e-commerce, groceries have officially joined the ranks of the disrupted consumer-spending categories. Our fixed income team breaks down the likely impact this game-changing deal will have on the real estate, securitization and corporate credit markets.

06/28/2017

The High Yield Market is Shrinking. That Could Be Good News for Investors.

By Randy Parrish, CFA, Head of Credit and Rick Cumberledge, CFA, Head of High Yield

The size of the U.S. high yield market increased steadily from the mid-1980s. Over the past two years, it started to shrink. What does that mean for investors?

06/14/2017

Anatomy of a Credit Market Sell Off

By Kurt Kringelis, CFA, CPA, JD, Head Macro Credit Strategist and Reuben Weislogel, CFA, CAIA, Quantitative Fixed Income Analyst

Historical evidence shows that in order for the overall credit index to widen meaningfully, a large industry needs to experience outsized problems or a handful of industries need to collectively weaken.

06/09/2017

Subprime Auto: Frightening Parallels to the Mortgage Crisis, but is there Systemic Risk?

By Dave Goodson, Head of Securitized Investments, Fixed Income

Recent headlines paint a picture of subprime auto lending as the ticking time bomb for the next “great financial crisis.” But are investors really staring down the edge of a cliff? While a closer analysis reveals undeniable parallels to the mortgage crisis, we don’t believe securitized credit investors should hit the panic button just yet.

06/05/2017

Inflation to Strike Back as Wages Climb and Animate the Fed

By Guy Petcho, Global Macro Portfolio Manager, Fixed Income

For insight into future Fed policy decisions, investors should discount the last CPI prints and focus on wage growth.

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